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YesYesYesYesYes Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Yes β but No won instead.

Will Candidate W win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$6.13
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,928
Combined PnL-$6.13
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1Β’ | $1.79 | β | -$1.79 | 35% 16923-31292 (48215) |
JO JordanMooneyCTR<$100 | Yes | β | β | +$0 | 36% 1885-3304 (5189) |
RA rainbowliliesCTR<$100 | Yes | β | β | +$0 | 40% 2659-3917 (6576) |
WO wokerjoesleeperCTR<$100 | Yes | β | β | +$0 | 32% 6340-13239 (19579) |
CR cry.eth2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.3Β’ | $4.35 | β | -$4.35 | 40% 9506-14441 (23947) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$1.79
Value
β
PnL
-$1.79
Record
35%
16923-31292 (48215)
JO
JordanMooneyCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
1885-3304 (5189)
RA
rainbowliliesCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
2659-3917 (6576)
WO
wokerjoesleeperCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
6340-13239 (19579)
CR
cry.eth2CTR<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
β
PnL
-$4.35
Record
40%
9506-14441 (23947)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x88785acc...4f55dd
Slug
will-candidate-w-win-the-next-bulgarian-presidential-election