Back to Markets
Yes
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100YesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Cambodia come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$1.84
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares252
Combined PnL-$2.36
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0.52
Yes — 83%No — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 42% 2632-3664 (6296) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $3.76 | — | -$1.58 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $124.22 | — | +$3.34 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $11 | — | -$0.35 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
AN anothercoin<$100 | Noavg 92.8¢ | $11.88 | — | +$0.52 | 37% 1544-2643 (4187) |
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
42%
2632-3664 (6296)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$3.76
Value
—
PnL
-$1.58
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
QW
qwen300.fundCTRInvested
$124.22
Value
—
PnL
+$3.34
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
AN
anothercoin<$100Invested
$11.88
Value
—
PnL
+$0.52
Record
37%
1544-2643 (4187)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xd507caaa...05cee5
Slug
will-cambodia-come-in-3rd-place-at-eurovision-asia-2026