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Yes
archaicNoNo
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTRYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 50%
Total Value
$488.13
Combined PnL
-$325.86
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$253.24
Total Shares1,626
Combined PnL-$325.5
No2 traders
Total Value$234.89
Total Shares235
Combined PnL-$0.36
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Yesavg 27.4¢ | $428.27 | $253.24 | +$74.86 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
archaic | Noavg 95.6¢ | $283.74 | $230.39 | +$12.9 | 85% 1877-338 (2215) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 71.7¢ | $34.24 | $4.5 | -$13.27 | 42% 5204-7132 (12336) |
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR | Yesavg 69.3¢ | $148.98 | — | -$21.7 | 56% 15274-11804 (27078) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR | Yesavg 42.7¢ | $378.66 | — | -$378.66 | 53% 1116-998 (2114) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$428.27
Value
$253.24
PnL
+$74.86
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
archaicInvested
$283.74
Value
$230.39
PnL
+$12.9
Record
85%
1877-338 (2215)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
$34.24
Value
$4.5
PnL
-$13.27
Record
42%
5204-7132 (12336)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTRInvested
$148.98
Value
—
PnL
-$21.7
Record
56%
15274-11804 (27078)
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderCTRInvested
$378.66
Value
—
PnL
-$378.66
Record
53%
1116-998 (2114)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe6aa9c4a...effddb
Slug
will-brett-whiteley-win-the-2026-latrobe-mayoral-election