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balthazarNoNoYesYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 40%
Total Value
$211.19
Combined PnL
-$58.44
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$211.19
Total Shares211
Combined PnL-$42.95
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares280
Combined PnL-$15.49
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazar | Noavg 99.3¢ | $166.03 | $167.19 | -$49.79 | 61% 21340-13629 (34969) |
0X 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960<$100 | Noavg 84.5¢ | $37.16 | $44 | +$6.84 | 62% 162-98 (260) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.6¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 32% 4493-9632 (14125) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.2¢ | $4.63 | — | -$4.63 | 36% 16042-28051 (44093) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $10.8 | — | -$10.8 | 18% 3832-17363 (21195) |
balthazarInvested
$166.03
Value
$167.19
PnL
-$49.79
Record
61%
21340-13629 (34969)
0X
0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960<$100Invested
$37.16
Value
$44
PnL
+$6.84
Record
62%
162-98 (260)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
32%
4493-9632 (14125)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$4.63
Value
—
PnL
-$4.63
Record
36%
16042-28051 (44093)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$10.8
Value
—
PnL
-$10.8
Record
18%
3832-17363 (21195)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ba0dad4...c3721e
Slug
will-blue-and-white-win-3pt25-percent-or-more-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-knesset-elections