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NoNoNoNo
balthazarCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on November 8?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 80%
Total Value
$11.9K
Combined PnL
-$65.1
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$11.9K
Total Shares11,866
Combined PnL-$65.05
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares24
Combined PnL-$0.05
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SH Sharky6999 | Noavg 95.3¢ | $7.5K | $6.3K | +$294.94 | 98% 9859-206 (10065) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Noavg 99.1¢ | $8.5K | $3.0K | -$458.06 | 69% 5074-2256 (7330) |
19 196874353278 | Noavg 94.6¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$46.42 | 40% 476-716 (1192) |
CL CleanCoinFlip | Noavg 95.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$51.65 | — |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 30% 35305-83677 (118982) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21174-45399 (66573) |
SH
Sharky6999Invested
$7,509.24
Value
$6.3K
PnL
+$294.94
Record
98%
9859-206 (10065)
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Invested
$8,469.61
Value
$3.0K
PnL
-$458.06
Record
69%
5074-2256 (7330)
19
196874353278Invested
$1,492.95
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$46.42
Record
40%
476-716 (1192)
CL
CleanCoinFlipInvested
$1,174.18
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$51.65
Record
—
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
30%
35305-83677 (118982)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21174-45399 (66573)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x948e31a1...53e403
Slug
will-bitcoin-reach-78k-on-november-8-2026