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Hannah-MontanaNoNoNo
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Haradwaith<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Bhutan be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 75%
Total Value
$668.36
Combined PnL
$9.99
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$668.36
Total Shares668
Combined PnL+$21.74
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares250
Combined PnL-$11.75
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hannah-Montana | Noavg 95¢ | $333.31 | $350.89 | +$17.58 | — 0-11 (11) |
PV pvc975 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $277.14 | $277.45 | +$0.31 | 98% 349-6 (355) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 96.5¢ | $38.6 | $40 | +$1.4 | 53% 7113-6221 (13334) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.7¢ | $11.75 | — | -$11.75 | 14% 90-553 (643) |
Haradwaith<$100 | Noavg 92.5¢ | $74 | $0.02 | +$2.45 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
Hannah-MontanaInvested
$333.31
Value
$350.89
PnL
+$17.58
Record
—
0-11 (11)
PV
pvc975Invested
$277.14
Value
$277.45
PnL
+$0.31
Record
98%
349-6 (355)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$38.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$1.4
Record
53%
7113-6221 (13334)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$11.75
Value
—
PnL
-$11.75
Record
14%
90-553 (643)
Haradwaith<$100Invested
$74
Value
$0.02
PnL
+$2.45
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3f1d8502...7587a3
Slug
will-bhutan-be-in-the-top-3-at-eurovision-asia-2026