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NoNoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Belarus win 2026-27 Nations League Group C1?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$176.43
Combined PnL
-$1.9
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$176.43
Total Shares176
Combined PnL+$37.18
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares102
Combined PnL-$39.08
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CI cigarettes | Noavg 77¢ | $110.46 | $143.43 | +$32.97 | 53% 7602-6693 (14295) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 90.7¢ | $41.74 | $33 | +$4.21 | 38% 3874-6342 (10216) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 28¢ | $28 | — | -$28 | 40% 280-415 (695) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | $13.53 | — | -$11.06 | 27% 109-299 (408) |
AL alex20011CTR<$100 | Yesavg 23.1¢ | $20.02 | — | -$0.02 | 43% 1137-1514 (2651) |
CI
cigarettesInvested
$110.46
Value
$143.43
PnL
+$32.97
Record
53%
7602-6693 (14295)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$41.74
Value
$33
PnL
+$4.21
Record
38%
3874-6342 (10216)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
$28
Value
—
PnL
-$28
Record
40%
280-415 (695)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100Invested
$13.53
Value
—
PnL
-$11.06
Record
27%
109-299 (408)
AL
alex20011CTR<$100Invested
$20.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
43%
1137-1514 (2651)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0d09d170...fe6f36
Slug
will-belarus-win-2026-27-nations-league-group-c1