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CoinTrick<$100NoYes
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Bangladesh come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 83%
Total Value
$42.08
Combined PnL
-$14.5
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$42.08
Total Shares42
Combined PnL+$0.04
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares273
Combined PnL-$14.54
No — 14%Yes — 86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $42.04 | $42.08 | +$0.04 | 99% 257-1 (258) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 42% 2632-3664 (6296) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $3.76 | — | -$3.58 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $190.44 | — | -$5.83 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.35 | 37% 1544-2643 (4187) |
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$42.04
Value
$42.08
PnL
+$0.04
Record
99%
257-1 (258)
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
42%
2632-3664 (6296)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$3.76
Value
—
PnL
-$3.58
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
QW
qwen300.fundCTRInvested
$190.44
Value
—
PnL
-$5.83
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
37%
1544-2643 (4187)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1e44e57d...c0f963
Slug
will-bangladesh-come-in-3rd-place-at-eurovision-asia-2026