Back to Markets
extractive-manateeNoNoYesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYes
Haradwaith<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Arizona have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 33%
Total Value
$396.15
Combined PnL
-$29.87
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$396.15
Total Shares396
Combined PnL+$34.15
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares361
Combined PnL-$64.02
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
extractive-manatee | Noavg 90.7¢ | $306.04 | $335.98 | +$31.34 | — 8-5 (13) |
AU auros2<$100 | Noavg 95.3¢ | $57.36 | $60.17 | +$2.81 | 58% 94-69 (163) |
0X 0x53eCc53E7CTR<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | $46.8 | — | -$46.8 | — |
0X 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $6.48 | — | -$6.48 | 39% 1111-1751 (2862) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 14% 101-606 (707) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 27¢ | $6.54 | — | -$6.54 | 38% 3787-6190 (9977) |
Haradwaith<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 29% 293-715 (1008) |
extractive-manateeInvested
$306.04
Value
$335.98
PnL
+$31.34
Record
—
8-5 (13)
AU
auros2<$100Invested
$57.36
Value
$60.17
PnL
+$2.81
Record
58%
94-69 (163)
0X
0x53eCc53E7CTR<$100Invested
$46.8
Value
—
PnL
-$46.8
Record
—
0X
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938CTR<$100Invested
$6.48
Value
—
PnL
-$6.48
Record
39%
1111-1751 (2862)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
14%
101-606 (707)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$6.54
Value
—
PnL
-$6.54
Record
38%
3787-6190 (9977)
Haradwaith<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
293-715 (1008)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x71808883...5a2f92
Slug
will-arizona-have-more-than-9pt5-wins-during-the-2026-cfb-season-20260810194010929