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Yes
AnjunYesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100No
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 75%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
-$18.14
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares1,182
Combined PnL-$16.54
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares800
Combined PnL-$1.6
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TP tphhh | Yesavg 99.8¢ | $953.45 | $955.36 | +$1.78 | 91% 628-59 (687) |
Anjun | Yesavg 90¢ | $222 | $222 | +$0 | 55% 4894-3956 (8850) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Yesavg 89¢ | $4.72 | $4.4 | -$0.32 | 36% 15093-27221 (42314) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.2¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 18% 519-2317 (2836) |
ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yesavg 85¢ | $170 | — | -$18 | 56% 15268-11795 (27063) |
TP
tphhhInvested
$953.45
Value
$955.36
PnL
+$1.78
Record
91%
628-59 (687)
AnjunInvested
$222
Value
$222
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
4894-3956 (8850)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$4.72
Value
$4.4
PnL
-$0.32
Record
36%
15093-27221 (42314)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
18%
519-2317 (2836)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyInvested
$170
Value
—
PnL
-$18
Record
56%
15268-11795 (27063)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x167b740c...0251df
Slug
will-arcium-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027