Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
No 57%
$359.74
-$111.5
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH TheWindKnowsmyName | Noavg 71.8¢ | $124.19 | $173 | +$48.81 | 55% 181-147 (328) |
 CosmicCedar | Noavg 95¢ | $157.19 | $100 | -$55.75 | 58% 918-654 (1572) |
 yen4u<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $51.95 | $52 | +$0.05 | 86% 874-141 (1015) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 19.8¢ | $82.41 | $20 | -$55.6 | 35% 17800-33165 (50965) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 82.5¢ | $12.16 | $14.74 | +$2.58 | 58% 18975-13958 (32933) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $13.6 | — | +$3.8 | 53% 28804-25713 (54517) |
 CarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14¢ | $47.71 | — | -$47.31 | 67% 4191-2055 (6246) |
CR crckrCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13.4¢ | $18.91 | — | -$10.15 | 41% 580-818 (1398) |
 CunglyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.4¢ | $34.08 | — | +$2.07 | 63% 683-399 (1082) |
Invested
$124.19
Value
$173
PnL
+$48.81
Record
55%
181-147 (328)
CosmicCedarInvested
$157.19
Value
$100
PnL
-$55.75
Record
58%
918-654 (1572)
yen4u<$100Invested
$51.95
Value
$52
PnL
+$0.05
Record
86%
874-141 (1015)
Invested
$82.41
Value
$20
PnL
-$55.6
Record
35%
17800-33165 (50965)
Invested
$12.16
Value
$14.74
PnL
+$2.58
Record
58%
18975-13958 (32933)
balthazar<$100Invested
$13.6
Value
—
PnL
+$3.8
Record
53%
28804-25713 (54517)
CarCTR<$100Invested
$47.71
Value
—
PnL
-$47.31
Record
67%
4191-2055 (6246)
Invested
$18.91
Value
—
PnL
-$10.15
Record
41%
580-818 (1398)
CunglyCTR<$100Invested
$34.08
Value
—
PnL
+$2.07
Record
63%
683-399 (1082)