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No
archaic<$100No
RelaccsedCTR<$100Yes
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100No
Istaroth<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 67%
Total Value
$66.18
Combined PnL
$2.85
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$66.18
Total Shares66
Combined PnL+$7.85
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$5
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | $35.86 | $43.2 | +$7.39 | 42% 5206-7139 (12345) |
archaic<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | $22.52 | $22.98 | +$0.46 | 85% 1880-338 (2218) |
RelaccsedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 48¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 56% 1199-950 (2149) |
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 15281-11831 (27112) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 53¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 295-1083 (1378) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 49.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15244-27336 (42580) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 1124-1007 (2131) |
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
$35.86
Value
$43.2
PnL
+$7.39
Record
42%
5206-7139 (12345)
archaic<$100Invested
$22.52
Value
$22.98
PnL
+$0.46
Record
85%
1880-338 (2218)
RelaccsedCTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
56%
1199-950 (2149)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
15281-11831 (27112)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
295-1083 (1378)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15244-27336 (42580)
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
1124-1007 (2131)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe5631cd4...164d19
Slug
will-andrew-mccullagh-win-the-2026-northern-midlands-mayoral-election