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mr.oziCTR<$100YesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Amcha Yisrael win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$19.77
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,603
Combined PnL-$19.77
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
mr.oziCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.2¢ | $12.26 | — | -$12.26 | 69% 1232-565 (1797) |
PO poposubCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.4¢ | $7.51 | — | -$7.51 | 45% 2056-2469 (4525) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 3370-2270 (5640) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4445-9534 (13979) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15651-27561 (43212) |
mr.oziCTR<$100Invested
$12.26
Value
—
PnL
-$12.26
Record
69%
1232-565 (1797)
PO
poposubCTR<$100Invested
$7.51
Value
—
PnL
-$7.51
Record
45%
2056-2469 (4525)
SH
shiifooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
3370-2270 (5640)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4445-9534 (13979)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15651-27561 (43212)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x89d77f00...dff516
Slug
will-amcha-yisrael-win-the-third-most-seats-israel-2026