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No
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNo
Istaroth<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$800
Combined PnL
$187.2
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 7 top traders (100%)6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No7 traders
Total Value$800
Total Shares800
Combined PnL+$187.2
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SB sbimbg | Noavg 75.5¢ | $604 | $800 | +$187.2 | 70% 3144-1356 (4500) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21044-13396 (34440) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 67.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6516-5727 (12243) |
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 88.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2457-2279 (4736) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 73.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4419-9499 (13918) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 88.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 308-1212 (1520) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 75.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
SB
sbimbgInvested
$604
Value
$800
PnL
+$187.2
Record
70%
3144-1356 (4500)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21044-13396 (34440)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6516-5727 (12243)
ME
merod<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2457-2279 (4736)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4419-9499 (13918)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
308-1212 (1520)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xacc4380e...d58f88
Slug
will-alphabets-market-capitalization-be-between-4pt50t-and-5pt00t-at-the-end-of-october-2026