Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
No 90%
$15.9K
-$709.31
Smart Money Signal
19 of 23 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AL alex20011 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | -$74.72 | 48% 3447-3744 (7191) |
ME merod | Noavg 99.6¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | -$52.38 | 52% 2459-2281 (4740) |
KO korda77 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | -$50.66 | 52% 4966-4596 (9562) |
AK akroll | Noavg 99.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | -$53.64 | 32% 338-725 (1063) |
ZE zerone777 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$54.48 | 40% 412-615 (1027) |
HO Hourglass | Noavg 99.6¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | -$47.96 | 77% 8873-2641 (11514) |
PO pollo07 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$45.32 | 32% 337-724 (1061) |
 balthazar | Noavg 99.6¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$40.49 | 61% 21091-13428 (34519) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $1.2K | $1.1K | +$2.07 | 42% 148-206 (354) |
KA kaxel78 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $947.96 | $949.83 | -$36.18 | 31% 285-647 (932) |
12 123987456 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $845.03 | $844.74 | -$31 | 45% 1865-2297 (4162) |
VA Vale54holi | Noavg 99.8¢ | $593.1 | $594.34 | -$22.58 | 29% 188-468 (656) |
LI Likaseent | Noavg 99.8¢ | $408.9 | $409.77 | -$21.69 | 29% 203-509 (712) |
VA vamosgaming | Noavg 99.8¢ | $395.22 | $395.87 | -$16.96 | 27% 201-540 (741) |
KL klli27 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $498.6 | $297.53 | -$11.67 | 31% 317-694 (1011) |
BI Bigggggggg | Noavg 99.8¢ | $266.5 | $267 | -$67.52 | 46% 2776-3321 (6097) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $7.6K | $100 | -$69.97 | 32% 4436-9523 (13959) |
GH ghorrock | Noavg 99.6¢ | $111.33 | $62.2 | -$1.61 | 57% 13766-10533 (24299) |
 HTcable<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $1.24 | $1.24 | +$0 | 100% 69-0 (69) |
TY TyshaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | $5.61 | — | -$5.61 | 73% 8254-3129 (11383) |
 0x138b1b19B71472e3c1A89F076924cD0467CTR<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $0.02 | — | +$0 | 41% 1606-2341 (3947) |
 IstarothCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$0.1 | 20% 312-1273 (1585) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.6¢ | $6.83 | — | -$6.83 | 36% 15508-27510 (43018) |
Invested
$1,729.35
Value
$1.7K
PnL
-$74.72
Record
48%
3447-3744 (7191)
Invested
$1,432.89
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$52.38
Record
52%
2459-2281 (4740)
Invested
$1,401.06
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$50.66
Record
52%
4966-4596 (9562)
Invested
$1,377.88
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$53.64
Record
32%
338-725 (1063)
Invested
$1,504.15
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$54.48
Record
40%
412-615 (1027)
Invested
$1,309.31
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$47.96
Record
77%
8873-2641 (11514)
Invested
$1,137.15
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$45.32
Record
32%
337-724 (1061)
balthazarInvested
$1,117.44
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$40.49
Record
61%
21091-13428 (34519)
Invested
$1,153.67
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$2.07
Record
42%
148-206 (354)
Invested
$947.96
Value
$949.83
PnL
-$36.18
Record
31%
285-647 (932)
Invested
$845.03
Value
$844.74
PnL
-$31
Record
45%
1865-2297 (4162)
Invested
$593.1
Value
$594.34
PnL
-$22.58
Record
29%
188-468 (656)
Invested
$408.9
Value
$409.77
PnL
-$21.69
Record
29%
203-509 (712)
Invested
$395.22
Value
$395.87
PnL
-$16.96
Record
27%
201-540 (741)
Invested
$498.6
Value
$297.53
PnL
-$11.67
Record
31%
317-694 (1011)
Invested
$266.5
Value
$267
PnL
-$67.52
Record
46%
2776-3321 (6097)
Invested
$7,616.44
Value
$100
PnL
-$69.97
Record
32%
4436-9523 (13959)
Invested
$111.33
Value
$62.2
PnL
-$1.61
Record
57%
13766-10533 (24299)
HTcable<$100Invested
$1.24
Value
$1.24
PnL
+$0
Record
100%
69-0 (69)
Invested
$5.61
Value
—
PnL
-$5.61
Record
73%
8254-3129 (11383)
0x138b1b19B71472e3c1A89F076924cD0467CTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
1606-2341 (3947)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
20%
312-1273 (1585)
Invested
$6.83
Value
—
PnL
-$6.83
Record
36%
15508-27510 (43018)
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