Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Aleš Boháč be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
Resolved No. 26% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Yes 100%
$0
-$0.15
Smart Money Signal
5 of 19 top traders (26%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 14% 9535-61062 (70597) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 35967-22489 (58456) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | Noavg 100¢ | — | — | +$0 | 38% 7325-12157 (19482) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35522-84044 (119566) |
 Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24497 (43226) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21959-45848 (67807) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54240 (101897) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 66281-66811 (133092) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 25592-21266 (46858) |
HA haveagoodday<$100 | Noavg 100¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 4010-6112 (10122) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 37% 16949-29332 (46281) |
 HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 41573-31331 (72904) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 15353-20859 (36212) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 8615-18479 (27094) |
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 45% 16737-20424 (37161) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 24130-24681 (48811) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3495-12141 (15636) |
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 1869-6674 (8543) |
PL plainfolder<$100 | Noavg 20.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 19570-19376 (38946) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
14%
9535-61062 (70597)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
35967-22489 (58456)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
7325-12157 (19482)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35522-84044 (119566)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24497 (43226)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21959-45848 (67807)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54240 (101897)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
66281-66811 (133092)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
25592-21266 (46858)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
4010-6112 (10122)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
37%
16949-29332 (46281)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
41573-31331 (72904)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
15353-20859 (36212)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
8615-18479 (27094)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
16737-20424 (37161)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
24130-24681 (48811)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3495-12141 (15636)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
1869-6674 (8543)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
19570-19376 (38946)