Back to Markets
NoYes
balthazarNo
paddaa<$100No
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 75%
Total Value
$753.65
Combined PnL
-$283.14
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$574.36
Total Shares574
Combined PnL-$104.47
Yes1 trader
Total Value$179.28
Total Shares633
Combined PnL-$178.67
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnapElectionAvoider | Noavg 46.7¢ | $228.68 | $388.42 | -$38.34 | 53% 1087-974 (2061) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Yesavg 23.6¢ | $337.43 | $179.28 | -$178.67 | 36% 14550-25983 (40533) |
balthazar | Noavg 84.4¢ | $109.48 | $129.73 | +$22.23 | 61% 20494-12853 (33347) |
paddaa<$100 | Noavg 71.2¢ | $52 | $56.21 | -$24.36 | 57% 813-624 (1437) |
ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Noavg 82¢ | $164 | — | -$64 | 57% 15192-11626 (26818) |
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderInvested
$228.68
Value
$388.42
PnL
-$38.34
Record
53%
1087-974 (2061)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$337.43
Value
$179.28
PnL
-$178.67
Record
36%
14550-25983 (40533)
balthazarInvested
$109.48
Value
$129.73
PnL
+$22.23
Record
61%
20494-12853 (33347)
paddaa<$100Invested
$52
Value
$56.21
PnL
-$24.36
Record
57%
813-624 (1437)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyInvested
$164
Value
—
PnL
-$64
Record
57%
15192-11626 (26818)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3955a019...d5c466
Slug
will-aldo-ruberto-win-the-2026-thunder-bay-mayoral-election