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No
balthazar<$100No
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesNoYes
paddaaCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 33%
Total Value
$850.5
Combined PnL
$0.62
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$850.5
Total Shares851
Combined PnL+$112.01
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares403
Combined PnL-$111.38
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 56.5¢ | $906.74 | $790.5 | +$86.31 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $46.8 | $60 | +$13.2 | 61% 20889-13298 (34187) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 40¢ | $47.4 | — | -$24.08 | 18% 522-2339 (2861) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $37.5 | — | +$12.5 | 42% 5204-7132 (12336) |
EL Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | $2.92 | — | -$2.92 | 77% 11162-3417 (14579) |
paddaaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.6¢ | $99.95 | — | -$70.94 | 57% 818-626 (1444) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 32¢ | $13.44 | — | -$13.44 | 53% 1116-998 (2114) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$906.74
Value
$790.5
PnL
+$86.31
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
balthazar<$100Invested
$46.8
Value
$60
PnL
+$13.2
Record
61%
20889-13298 (34187)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$47.4
Value
—
PnL
-$24.08
Record
18%
522-2339 (2861)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
—
PnL
+$12.5
Record
42%
5204-7132 (12336)
EL
Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100Invested
$2.92
Value
—
PnL
-$2.92
Record
77%
11162-3417 (14579)
paddaaCTR<$100Invested
$99.95
Value
—
PnL
-$70.94
Record
57%
818-626 (1444)
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100Invested
$13.44
Value
—
PnL
-$13.44
Record
53%
1116-998 (2114)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6e7d8e79...fbee8b
Slug
will-aldo-antolli-win-the-2026-kingborough-mayoral-election