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No
balthazarNoNo
CoinTrick<$100NoNoNo
HaradwaithCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 86%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
$6.91
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares1,207
Combined PnL+$8.49
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$1.58
No — 86%Yes — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QW qwen300.fund | Noavg 99.8¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$2.46 | 31% 2838-6235 (9073) |
balthazar | Noavg 99.8¢ | $109.78 | $110 | +$0.22 | 51% 4735-4557 (9292) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 85.9¢ | $34.34 | $40 | +$5.66 | 41% 3158-4508 (7666) |
CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $27.97 | $28 | +$0.03 | 99% 77-1 (78) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 79% 449-119 (568) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $4.23 | $4.25 | +$0.02 | 26% 1235-3523 (4758) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $1.58 | — | -$1.58 | 55% 48-39 (87) |
QW
qwen300.fundInvested
$1,012.63
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$2.46
Record
31%
2838-6235 (9073)
balthazarInvested
$109.78
Value
$110
PnL
+$0.22
Record
51%
4735-4557 (9292)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$34.34
Value
$40
PnL
+$5.66
Record
41%
3158-4508 (7666)
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$27.97
Value
$28
PnL
+$0.03
Record
99%
77-1 (78)
LU
luciebot<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
79%
449-119 (568)
AH
aHjCz<$100Invested
$4.23
Value
$4.25
PnL
+$0.02
Record
26%
1235-3523 (4758)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$1.58
Value
—
PnL
-$1.58
Record
55%
48-39 (87)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe92733fc...26a2c9
Slug
will-007-first-light-win-ultimate-game-of-the-year-golden-joystick-20261111