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CoinTrick<$100NoYes
balthazar<$100NoYes
IstarothCTR<$100YesYes
2B9S<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin <22%?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$39.35
Combined PnL
-$4.92
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$39.35
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$0.08
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares55
Combined PnL-$4.99
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $39.35 | $39.35 | +$0.08 | 98% 3106-75 (3181) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $4.99 | — | -$4.99 | 42% 133-183 (316) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20685-13108 (33793) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4338-9328 (13666) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 27% 281-771 (1052) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14857-26971 (41828) |
2B9S<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3781-17074 (20855) |
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$39.35
Value
$39.35
PnL
+$0.08
Record
98%
3106-75 (3181)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100Invested
$4.99
Value
—
PnL
-$4.99
Record
42%
133-183 (316)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20685-13108 (33793)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4338-9328 (13666)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
27%
281-771 (1052)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14857-26971 (41828)
2B9S<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3781-17074 (20855)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x15bc9761...4a37ec
Slug
vertiv-vrt-q3-adjusted-operating-margin-20261008120035000-less-than-22