Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 28%+?

Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Yes 67%

Total Value

$87.79

Combined PnL

-$3.45

Smart Money Signal

Yes

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No2 traders

Total Value$87.79

Total Shares88

Combined PnL+$0.09

Yes6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares291

Combined PnL-$3.54

No — 25%Yes — 75%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$87.79	$87.79	+$0.09	98% 3106-75 (3181)
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.3¢	$0.75	—	-$0.75	80% 246-60 (306)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100	Yesavg 6.8¢	$2.79	—	-$2.79	42% 133-183 (316)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 96.9¢	—	—	+$0	61% 20685-13108 (33793)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4338-9328 (13666)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	27% 281-771 (1052)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 8.5¢	—	—	+$0	36% 14857-26971 (41828)
2B9SCTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	—	—	+$0	18% 3781-17074 (20855)

Invested

$87.79

Value

$87.79

PnL

+$0.09

Record

98%

3106-75 (3181)

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100

Invested

$0.75

Value

—

PnL

-$0.75

Record

80%

246-60 (306)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100

Invested

$2.79

Value

—

PnL

-$2.79

Record

42%

133-183 (316)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20685-13108 (33793)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4338-9328 (13666)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

27%

281-771 (1052)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14857-26971 (41828)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

3781-17074 (20855)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0x0b7bac64...0234ae

Slug

vertiv-vrt-q3-adjusted-operating-margin-20261008120035000-28-or-more

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

No — $87.79

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e

Yes — $0

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

2B9S

Yes — $0

Trade on Polymarket