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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 26% to 28%?

Resolved No. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Yes 67%

Total Value

$100

Combined PnL

-$20.84

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders

Total Value$100

Total Shares100

Combined PnL+$0.37

Yes4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares592

Combined PnL-$21.22

No — 56%Yes — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick	Noavg 99.6¢	$100	$100	+$0.37	98% 3106-75 (3181)
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100	Yesavg 1.8¢	$9.8	—	-$9.8	80% 246-60 (306)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100	Yesavg 28.5¢	$11.42	—	-$11.42	42% 133-183 (316)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 97.9¢	—	—	+$0	61% 20685-13108 (33793)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4338-9328 (13666)
Istaroth<$100	Noavg 71.4¢	—	—	+$0	27% 281-771 (1052)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 67.3¢	—	—	+$0	36% 14857-26971 (41828)
2B9S<$100	Noavg 75.3¢	—	—	+$0	18% 3781-17074 (20855)
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100	Yesavg 27¢	—	—	+$0	53% 1100-982 (2082)

Invested

$100

Value

$100

PnL

+$0.37

Record

98%

3106-75 (3181)

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100

Invested

$9.8

Value

—

PnL

-$9.8

Record

80%

246-60 (306)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100

Invested

$11.42

Value

—

PnL

-$11.42

Record

42%

133-183 (316)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20685-13108 (33793)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4338-9328 (13666)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

27%

281-771 (1052)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14857-26971 (41828)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

3781-17074 (20855)

SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

1100-982 (2082)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x65736448...013285

Slug

vertiv-vrt-q3-adjusted-operating-margin-20261008120035000-26-to-28

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

No — $100

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e

Yes — $0

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

Istaroth

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

2B9S

No — $0

SnapElectionAvoider

Yes — $0

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