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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 22% to 24%?

Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

No 50%

Total Value

$295.98

Combined PnL

$20.63

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders

Total Value$295.98

Total Shares296

Combined PnL+$28.49

Yes4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares359

Combined PnL-$7.86

No — 56%Yes — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SN SnapElectionAvoider	Noavg 82.4¢	$173.64	$210.79	+$28.41	53% 1100-982 (2082)
CoinTrick<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$85.19	$85.19	+$0.09	98% 3106-75 (3181)
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100	Yesavg 1.6¢	$5.03	—	-$5.03	80% 246-60 (306)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100	Yesavg 6¢	$2.83	—	-$2.83	42% 133-183 (316)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 76¢	—	—	+$0	61% 20685-13108 (33793)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.1¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4338-9328 (13666)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	27% 281-771 (1052)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 72.6¢	—	—	+$0	36% 14857-26971 (41828)
2B9S<$100	Noavg 76.8¢	—	—	+$0	18% 3781-17074 (20855)

SnapElectionAvoider

Invested

$173.64

Value

$210.79

PnL

+$28.41

Record

53%

1100-982 (2082)

Invested

$85.19

Value

$85.19

PnL

+$0.09

Record

98%

3106-75 (3181)

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100

Invested

$5.03

Value

—

PnL

-$5.03

Record

80%

246-60 (306)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100

Invested

$2.83

Value

—

PnL

-$2.83

Record

42%

133-183 (316)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20685-13108 (33793)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4338-9328 (13666)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

27%

281-771 (1052)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14857-26971 (41828)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

3781-17074 (20855)

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x45ca0852...8c62ad

Slug

vertiv-vrt-q3-adjusted-operating-margin-20261008120035000-22-to-24

Traders in this Market

SnapElectionAvoider

No — $210.79

CoinTrick

No — $85.19

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e

Yes — $0

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

2B9S

No — $0

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