Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 4 Winner

1 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold KRÜ Blaze (20%) · KRÜ Blaze at 100¢ · $10K held · ends Nov 1

Shopify Rebellion Gold<1¢KRÜ Blaze>99¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

KRÜ Blaze

Consensus Traders

KRÜ Blaze 20%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$10.1K

Combined PnL

-$100.63

Research grade

NeutralKRÜ Blaze at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

KRÜ Blaze

1 of 5 top traders (20%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Shopify Rebellion Gold0%

KRÜ Blaze100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

KRÜ Blaze1 trader

Total Value$174.4

Total Shares528

Combined PnL-$126.44

Shopify Rebellion Gold4 traders

Total Value$357.9

Total Shares660

Combined PnL+$25.81

KRÜ Blaze — 20%Shopify Rebellion Gold — 80%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100	KRÜ Blazeavg 58.7¢	$9.4K	$8.9K	-$506.17	54% 2428-2097 (4525)
└ KRÜ Blaze leg	KRÜ Blazeavg 58.7¢	$5.2K	$6.0K	+$735.14
└ Shopify Rebellion Gold leg	Shopify Rebellion Goldavg 47.1¢	$4.1K	$2.9K	$-1.2K
CA calculate10ARB<$100	KRÜ Blazeavg 59.5¢	$1.3K	$517.9	+$495.76	53% 1233-1079 (2312)
└ KRÜ Blaze leg	KRÜ Blazeavg 59.5¢	$343.71	$288.66	+$47.27
└ Shopify Rebellion Gold leg	Shopify Rebellion Goldavg 39.2¢	$179.58	$229.25	+$448.49
PI PIPIZIN	KRÜ Blazeavg 56.9¢	$300.84	$174.4	-$126.44	52% 424-399 (823)
PA pauleta23ARB<$100	KRÜ Blazeavg 58.7¢	$158.84	$158.35	-$0.49	67% 23363-11755 (35118)
└ Shopify Rebellion Gold leg	Shopify Rebellion Goldavg 40¢	$61.1	$91.75	+$30.65
└ KRÜ Blaze leg	KRÜ Blazeavg 58.7¢	$97.74	$66.6	-$31.14
clazzy1CTR	Shopify Rebellion Goldavg 54¢	$108	$133.99	+$26	62% 392-244 (636)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	Shopify Rebellion Goldavg 42.6¢	$127.99	$127.6	-$0.4	49% 8129-8572 (16701)
TobenaiTenshiCTR<$100	Shopify Rebellion Goldavg 59.6¢	$65	$62.18	-$2.82	51% 417-395 (812)
DA dabossrealmanCTR<$100	Shopify Rebellion Goldavg 53¢	$55	$34.13	+$3.03	61% 2564-1626 (4190)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100

KRÜ Blaze

Invested

$9,367.23

Value

$8.9K

PnL

-$506.17

Record

54%

2428-2097 (4525)

Both legs:

KRÜ Blaze$5,229.1358.7¢+$735.14

Shopify Rebellion Gold$4,138.0947.1¢$-1.2K

calculate10ARB<$100

KRÜ Blaze

Invested

$1,306.83

Value

$517.9

PnL

+$495.76

Record

53%

1233-1079 (2312)

Both legs:

KRÜ Blaze$343.7159.5¢+$47.27

Shopify Rebellion Gold$179.5839.2¢+$448.49

PIPIZIN

KRÜ Blaze

Invested

$300.84

Value

$174.4

PnL

-$126.44

Record

52%

424-399 (823)

pauleta23ARB<$100

KRÜ Blaze

Invested

$158.84

Value

$158.35

PnL

-$0.49

Record

67%

23363-11755 (35118)

Both legs:

Shopify Rebellion Gold$61.140¢+$30.65

KRÜ Blaze$97.7458.7¢-$31.14

clazzy1CTR

Shopify Rebellion Gold

Invested

$108

Value

$133.99

PnL

+$26

Record

62%

392-244 (636)

topdogbigboiCTR

Shopify Rebellion Gold

Invested

$127.99

Value

$127.6

PnL

-$0.4

Record

49%

8129-8572 (16701)

TobenaiTenshiCTR<$100

Shopify Rebellion Gold

Invested

$65

Value

$62.18

PnL

-$2.82

Record

51%

417-395 (812)

dabossrealmanCTR<$100

Shopify Rebellion Gold

Invested

$55

Value

$34.13

PnL

+$3.03

Record

61%

2564-1626 (4190)

Research grade

NeutralKRÜ Blaze at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

KRÜ Blaze

1 of 5 top traders (20%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that KRÜ Blaze wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.