Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
FK Neftchi Fargona vs. FC Bunyodkor: O/U 3.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Over 25%
1 arb excluded
$255.7
$63.48
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 53Β’ | $179.24 | $234.42 | +$55.18 | 53% 2108-1855 (3963) |
![]() VeryLucky888ARB<$100 | Underavg 47Β’ | $105.28 | $21.28 | -$84 | 53% 1376-1196 (2572) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 47Β’ | $94 | β | -$94 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 53Β’ | $11.28 | $21.28 | +$10 | |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 15Β’ | $2.66 | β | -$2.66 | 48% 912-1002 (1914) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 45.4Β’ | $7.12 | β | -$7.12 | 49% 3867-4029 (7896) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 36Β’ | $0.72 | β | -$0.72 | 55% 5380-4339 (9719) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 51Β’ | $19.61 | $0 | +$18.8 | 46% 2702-3200 (5902) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100 | Overavg 50Β’ | $10 | β | +$0 | 69% 133-60 (193) |
Invested
$179.24
Value
$234.42
PnL
+$55.18
Record
53%
2108-1855 (3963)
VeryLucky888ARB<$100Invested
$105.28
Value
$21.28
PnL
-$84
Record
53%
1376-1196 (2572)
Both legs:
Invested
$2.66
Value
β
PnL
-$2.66
Record
48%
912-1002 (1914)
Invested
$7.12
Value
β
PnL
-$7.12
Record
49%
3867-4029 (7896)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.72
Value
β
PnL
-$0.72
Record
55%
5380-4339 (9719)
Invested
$19.61
Value
$0
PnL
+$18.8
Record
46%
2702-3200 (5902)
Invested
$10
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
133-60 (193)