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UnderOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Hammarby IF vs. Spartak Myjava: O/U 6.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 80%
Total Value
$78.69
Combined PnL
-$55.58
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$78.69
Total Shares79
Combined PnL+$9.87
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares628
Combined PnL-$65.46
Under — 20%Over — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 86.7¢ | $68.82 | $78.69 | +$9.87 | 56% 1575-1256 (2831) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 14¢ | $3.26 | — | -$3.26 | 51% 1908-1842 (3750) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 10¢ | $54.57 | — | -$54.57 | 38% 156-251 (407) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 13¢ | $4.84 | — | -$4.84 | 31% 405-886 (1291) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 13¢ | $2.79 | — | -$2.79 | 31% 407-907 (1314) |
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$68.82
Value
$78.69
PnL
+$9.87
Record
56%
1575-1256 (2831)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$3.26
Value
—
PnL
-$3.26
Record
51%
1908-1842 (3750)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$54.57
Value
—
PnL
-$54.57
Record
38%
156-251 (407)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$4.84
Value
—
PnL
-$4.84
Record
31%
405-886 (1291)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$2.79
Value
—
PnL
-$2.79
Record
31%
407-907 (1314)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7af9b53b...94af45
Slug
uwec-ham-smy-2026-11-11-total-6pt5