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OverOverUnderUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
Czarni Sosnowiec vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 60%
Total Value
$137.54
Combined PnL
-$67.96
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$137.54
Total Shares138
Combined PnL+$13.43
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares647
Combined PnL-$81.39
Over β 33%Under β 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 87Β’ | $71.61 | $77.54 | +$5.93 | 56% 1553-1230 (2783) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Overavg 87.5Β’ | $52.5 | $60 | +$7.5 | 24% 37-118 (155) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 12.7Β’ | $57.75 | β | -$57.75 | 51% 1857-1809 (3666) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 12Β’ | $17.97 | β | -$17.97 | 38% 137-223 (360) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 12Β’ | $0.01 | β | +$0 | 31% 388-857 (1245) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 13Β’ | $5.67 | β | -$5.67 | 38% 355-588 (943) |
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$71.61
Value
$77.54
PnL
+$5.93
Record
56%
1553-1230 (2783)
RO
Rocky31<$100Invested
$52.5
Value
$60
PnL
+$7.5
Record
24%
37-118 (155)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$57.75
Value
β
PnL
-$57.75
Record
51%
1857-1809 (3666)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$17.97
Value
β
PnL
-$17.97
Record
38%
137-223 (360)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
31%
388-857 (1245)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$5.67
Value
β
PnL
-$5.67
Record
38%
355-588 (943)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8aaf6b69...87e7aa
Slug
uwec-czs-bra-2026-11-11-total-1pt5