Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

OL Lyonnes vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5
Resolved Over. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
13
Under 50%
1 arb excluded
$356.78
-$742.87
Smart Money Signal
5 of 13 top traders (38%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RO Rocko33 | Overavg 13.1Β’ | $40.87 | $312.84 | +$274.94 | 64% 1014-578 (1592) |
![]() poshposhARB<$100 | Underavg 84Β’ | $80.68 | $43.94 | -$36.74 | 59% 9478-6467 (15945) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 84Β’ | $52.48 | β | -$52.48 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 64.2Β’ | $28.2 | $43.94 | +$15.74 | |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 83.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 44789-31177 (75966) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 80.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 55844-47942 (103786) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 77.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 24471-24125 (48596) |
![]() JhonAlexanderHinestroza<$100 | Overavg 72Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 1107-840 (1947) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 45.4Β’ | $1.3K | β | $-1.3K | 72% 2311-879 (3190) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 85Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 30128-20863 (50991) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 24.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 12209-12458 (24667) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 94Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 8126-6560 (14686) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Overavg 31.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 67% 23140-11541 (34681) |
SY Syrrok<$100 | Overavg 26.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 61% 1783-1127 (2910) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 22.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 53% 3243-2909 (6152) |
![]() eskillo | Overavg 65.9Β’ | $608.26 | β | +$305.65 | 42% 579-807 (1386) |
Invested
$40.87
Value
$312.84
PnL
+$274.94
Record
64%
1014-578 (1592)
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$80.68
Value
$43.94
PnL
-$36.74
Record
59%
9478-6467 (15945)
Both legs:
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44789-31177 (75966)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
55844-47942 (103786)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24471-24125 (48596)
JhonAlexanderHinestroza<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
1107-840 (1947)
Invested
$1,323.47
Value
β
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
72%
2311-879 (3190)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
30128-20863 (50991)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12209-12458 (24667)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8126-6560 (14686)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
23140-11541 (34681)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
1783-1127 (2910)
HRTrading<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
3243-2909 (6152)
eskilloInvested
$608.26
Value
β
PnL
+$305.65
Record
42%
579-807 (1386)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Rocko33
Over β $312.84

poshposh
ARBArbitrage β excluded
UpTheBlues
CTRUnder β $0

RN1
CTRUnder β $0
GoalLineGhost
CTRUnder β $0

JhonAlexanderHinestroza
Over β $0
dashattacker
CTRUnder β $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRUnder β $0
LuckyLoo
Over β $0
User7429
Over β $0