Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will AS Roma vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin end in a draw?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
No 86%
2 arb excluded
$15.2K
$507.46
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 91¢ | $8.9K | $9.6K | +$696.23 | 50% 1433-1435 (2868) |
 RN1 | Noavg 95.2¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$77.36 | 58% 3771-2731 (6502) |
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 95¢ | $899.43 | $942.46 | +$43.03 | 43% 79-105 (184) |
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 96.6¢ | $725.29 | $750.44 | +$25.15 | 47% 149-168 (317) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 94¢ | $857.04 | $641.42 | -$215.62 | 26% 234-672 (906) |
MA MadridTimeARB<$100 | Yesavg 10¢ | $375.35 | $125 | -$250.35 | 26% 234-653 (887) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 93¢ | $116.25 | $125 | +$8.75 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 10¢ | $259.1 | — | -$259.1 | |
VE Venusian | Noavg 95.1¢ | $250.6 | $134.03 | -$116.57 | 25% 228-679 (907) |
LI LightParadoxARB<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $232.48 | $25.15 | -$207.33 | 26% 234-663 (897) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $208.92 | — | -$208.92 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 93.7¢ | $23.56 | $25.15 | +$1.59 | |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.5¢ | $2.13 | — | -$2.13 | 57% 1516-1167 (2683) |
Invested
$8,862.48
Value
$9.6K
PnL
+$696.23
Record
50%
1433-1435 (2868)
RN1Invested
$2,961.64
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$77.36
Record
58%
3771-2731 (6502)
Invested
$899.43
Value
$942.46
PnL
+$43.03
Record
43%
79-105 (184)
Invested
$725.29
Value
$750.44
PnL
+$25.15
Record
47%
149-168 (317)
Invested
$857.04
Value
$641.42
PnL
-$215.62
Record
26%
234-672 (906)
Invested
$375.35
Value
$125
PnL
-$250.35
Record
26%
234-653 (887)
Both legs:
Invested
$250.6
Value
$134.03
PnL
-$116.57
Record
25%
228-679 (907)
Invested
$232.48
Value
$25.15
PnL
-$207.33
Record
26%
234-663 (897)
Both legs:
Invested
$2.13
Value
—
PnL
-$2.13
Record
57%
1516-1167 (2683)