Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Club Nacional de Football vs. Albion FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Under 71%
1 arb excluded
$813.83
$219.86
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 54.1Β’ | $289.91 | $529.76 | +$239.85 | 53% 2421-2179 (4600) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 49.1Β’ | $406.37 | $92.24 | -$314.14 | 49% 4352-4620 (8972) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 49.1Β’ | $353.1 | β | -$353.1 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 57.8Β’ | $53.27 | $92.24 | +$38.97 | |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 77.8Β’ | $66.23 | $82.29 | +$16.06 | 38% 1351-2180 (3531) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Underavg 77.2Β’ | $58.66 | $76 | +$17.34 | 46% 809-954 (1763) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Overavg 26.2Β’ | $47.88 | β | -$47.88 | 38% 1223-2021 (3244) |
![]() dips.<$100 | Underavg 81Β’ | $19.44 | $24 | +$4.56 | 48% 1156-1264 (2420) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 38Β’ | $23.28 | β | -$23.28 | 36% 595-1070 (1665) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Underavg 57Β’ | $5.43 | $9.53 | +$4.1 | 55% 5758-4807 (10565) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 43Β’ | $11.32 | $0.01 | +$0.53 | 54% 1691-1455 (3146) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Underavg 57Β’ | $11.4 | β | +$8.58 | 83% 882-182 (1064) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50Β’ | $200 | β | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
Invested
$289.91
Value
$529.76
PnL
+$239.85
Record
53%
2421-2179 (4600)
Invested
$406.37
Value
$92.24
PnL
-$314.14
Record
49%
4352-4620 (8972)
Both legs:
Invested
$66.23
Value
$82.29
PnL
+$16.06
Record
38%
1351-2180 (3531)
Invested
$58.66
Value
$76
PnL
+$17.34
Record
46%
809-954 (1763)
Invested
$47.88
Value
β
PnL
-$47.88
Record
38%
1223-2021 (3244)
dips.<$100Invested
$19.44
Value
$24
PnL
+$4.56
Record
48%
1156-1264 (2420)
Invested
$23.28
Value
β
PnL
-$23.28
Record
36%
595-1070 (1665)
RN1<$100Invested
$5.43
Value
$9.53
PnL
+$4.1
Record
55%
5758-4807 (10565)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$11.32
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0.53
Record
54%
1691-1455 (3146)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$11.4
Value
β
PnL
+$8.58
Record
83%
882-182 (1064)
Invested
$200
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
GoalLineGhost
Under β $529.76
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
topdogbigboi
Under β $82.29
smithagent
Under β $76
LightParadox
CTROver β $0

dips.
Under β $24
LuckyLoo
CTROver β $0

RN1
Under β $9.53

VeryLucky888
Under β $0.01

ARTEM-DZYUBA
Under β $0