Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Albion FC win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
No 77%
1 arb excluded
$5.0K
$268.23
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 96.2¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$84.82 | 47% 1088-1236 (2324) |
 RN1 | Noavg 95.5¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$70.36 | 55% 5758-4807 (10565) |
 Secondhandvinyl | Noavg 89.2¢ | $620.45 | $695.29 | +$74.84 | 77% 355-106 (461) |
 dips. | Noavg 89¢ | $206.54 | $232.07 | +$25.53 | 48% 1156-1264 (2420) |
SM smithagent | Noavg 89¢ | $112.19 | $112.63 | +$13.15 | 46% 809-954 (1763) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 5.4¢ | $291.68 | $47.99 | -$243.69 | 49% 4352-4620 (8972) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 85.8¢ | $41.19 | $47.99 | +$6.8 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 5.4¢ | $250.49 | — | -$250.49 | |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 88.1¢ | $30.8 | $34.96 | +$4.16 | 36% 595-1070 (1665) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Noavg 89.4¢ | $9.83 | $11 | +$1.17 | 46% 884-1056 (1940) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $8.97 | $10.43 | +$1.46 | 38% 1230-1969 (3199) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 85¢ | $5.67 | $6.67 | +$1 | 54% 1691-1455 (3146) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $4.6 | $5 | +$0.4 | 83% 882-182 (1064) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $5.79 | — | -$5.79 | 38% 1351-2180 (3531) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 53% 2421-2179 (4600) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.7¢ | $0.07 | — | -$0.07 | 53% 7331-6407 (13738) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $55 | — | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
Invested
$2,152.46
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$84.82
Record
47%
1088-1236 (2324)
RN1Invested
$1,495.62
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$70.36
Record
55%
5758-4807 (10565)
SecondhandvinylInvested
$620.45
Value
$695.29
PnL
+$74.84
Record
77%
355-106 (461)
dips.Invested
$206.54
Value
$232.07
PnL
+$25.53
Record
48%
1156-1264 (2420)
Invested
$112.19
Value
$112.63
PnL
+$13.15
Record
46%
809-954 (1763)
Invested
$291.68
Value
$47.99
PnL
-$243.69
Record
49%
4352-4620 (8972)
Both legs:
Invested
$30.8
Value
$34.96
PnL
+$4.16
Record
36%
595-1070 (1665)
Invested
$9.83
Value
$11
PnL
+$1.17
Record
46%
884-1056 (1940)
Invested
$8.97
Value
$10.43
PnL
+$1.46
Record
38%
1230-1969 (3199)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$5.67
Value
$6.67
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
1691-1455 (3146)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.4
Record
83%
882-182 (1064)
Invested
$5.79
Value
—
PnL
-$5.79
Record
38%
1351-2180 (3531)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
53%
2421-2179 (4600)
Invested
$0.07
Value
—
PnL
-$0.07
Record
53%
7331-6407 (13738)
Invested
$55
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)