Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Central Espanol FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
$625.77
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 56¢ | $1.8K | $2.3K | +$554.15 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Overavg 46¢ | $396.35 | $35.71 | -$360.64 | 55% 5370-4319 (9689) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 46¢ | $375.29 | — | -$375.29 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 59¢ | $21.06 | $35.71 | +$14.65 | |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 29.9¢ | $17.87 | $59.81 | +$41.94 | 53% 2094-1845 (3939) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 79¢ | $39.49 | $49.58 | +$10.09 | 37% 1030-1738 (2768) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Underavg 39¢ | $13.15 | $33.72 | +$20.57 | 37% 964-1664 (2628) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Underavg 40¢ | $6.35 | $15.87 | +$9.52 | 36% 443-803 (1246) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Underavg 41¢ | $2.05 | $5 | +$2.95 | 36% 953-1669 (2622) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 11.1¢ | $3.93 | — | -$3.93 | 36% 937-1647 (2584) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 60¢ | $9.52 | — | -$9.52 | 46% 2679-3158 (5837) |
Invested
$1,765.7
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$554.15
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$396.35
Value
$35.71
PnL
-$360.64
Record
55%
5370-4319 (9689)
Both legs:
Invested
$17.87
Value
$59.81
PnL
+$41.94
Record
53%
2094-1845 (3939)
Invested
$39.49
Value
$49.58
PnL
+$10.09
Record
37%
1030-1738 (2768)
Invested
$13.15
Value
$33.72
PnL
+$20.57
Record
37%
964-1664 (2628)
Invested
$6.35
Value
$15.87
PnL
+$9.52
Record
36%
443-803 (1246)
Invested
$2.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.95
Record
36%
953-1669 (2622)
Invested
$3.93
Value
—
PnL
-$3.93
Record
36%
937-1647 (2584)
Invested
$9.52
Value
—
PnL
-$9.52
Record
46%
2679-3158 (5837)