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poshposh<$100Over
RN1CTRUnderOverUnderUnderUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Sweden O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Under 75%
Total Value
$104.54
Combined PnL
-$282.01
Smart Money Signal
Under
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$104.54
Total Shares105
Combined PnL+$4.81
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares648
Combined PnL-$286.81
Over — 25%Under — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
poshposh<$100 | Overavg 97.8¢ | $95.39 | $97.54 | +$2.15 | 49% 1219-1281 (2500) |
RN1CTR | Underavg 62¢ | $264.51 | — | -$264.51 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | $4.34 | $7 | +$2.66 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100 | Underavg 4.7¢ | $6.56 | — | -$6.56 | 25% 62-187 (249) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 18.7¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 37% 1064-1797 (2861) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 19.2¢ | $5.72 | — | -$5.72 | 37% 1048-1799 (2847) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 19.4¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 37% 1043-1777 (2820) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 20.4¢ | $0.52 | — | -$0.52 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
poshposh<$100Invested
$95.39
Value
$97.54
PnL
+$2.15
Record
49%
1219-1281 (2500)
RN1CTRInvested
$264.51
Value
—
PnL
-$264.51
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$4.34
Value
$7
PnL
+$2.66
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100Invested
$6.56
Value
—
PnL
-$6.56
Record
25%
62-187 (249)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
37%
1064-1797 (2861)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$5.72
Value
—
PnL
-$5.72
Record
37%
1048-1799 (2847)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
37%
1043-1777 (2820)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$0.52
Value
—
PnL
-$0.52
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbc2da613...d1db17
Slug
unl-swe-bih-2026-11-14-team-total-home-2pt5