Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Over 57%
1 arb excluded
$289.58
-$42.13
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 77Β’ | $105.48 | $182.04 | +$76.56 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 23.1Β’ | $42.08 | $182.04 | +$139.96 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 77Β’ | $63.4 | β | -$63.4 | |
![]() wesolyjasiu<$100 | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $75.91 | $75.99 | +$0.08 | 100% 34-0 (34) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 77Β’ | $38.53 | β | -$38.53 | 49% 1219-1281 (2500) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Overavg 24.1Β’ | $5.65 | $23.41 | +$17.76 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 56Β’ | $18.01 | β | -$18.01 | 38% 1138-1890 (3028) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 75.7Β’ | $9.51 | β | -$9.51 | 53% 1867-1658 (3525) |
NO NordhavenCap<$100 | Overavg 25Β’ | $1 | $4 | +$3 | 31% 104-232 (336) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 23Β’ | $0.92 | $4 | +$3.08 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Overavg 99Β’ | $0.14 | $0.14 | +$0 | 99% 513-7 (520) |
Invested
$105.48
Value
$182.04
PnL
+$76.56
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
Both legs:
wesolyjasiu<$100Invested
$75.91
Value
$75.99
PnL
+$0.08
Record
100%
34-0 (34)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$38.53
Value
β
PnL
-$38.53
Record
49%
1219-1281 (2500)
Invested
$5.65
Value
$23.41
PnL
+$17.76
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
Invested
$18.01
Value
β
PnL
-$18.01
Record
38%
1138-1890 (3028)
Invested
$9.51
Value
β
PnL
-$9.51
Record
53%
1867-1658 (3525)
Invested
$1
Value
$4
PnL
+$3
Record
31%
104-232 (336)
Invested
$0.92
Value
$4
PnL
+$3.08
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
Invested
$0.14
Value
$0.14
PnL
+$0
Record
99%
513-7 (520)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded

wesolyjasiu
Over β $75.99

poshposh
CTRUnder β $0
SnakeBall
Over β $23.41
topdogbigboi
CTRUnder β $0
ghorrock
CTRUnder β $0
NordhavenCap
Over β $4
ferdinand2
Over β $4
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Over β $0.14