Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Bosnia and Herzegovina — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Bosnia and Herzegovina

Spread: Sweden (-4.5)

Resolved Bosnia and Herzegovina. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Bosnia and Herzegovina. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Bosnia and Herzegovina 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$78.89

Combined PnL

$8.57

Bosnia and Herzegovina

2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Sweden0%

Bosnia and Herzegovina100%

Bosnia and Herzegovina2 traders

Total Value$42.5

Total Shares43

Combined PnL+$15.25

Sweden2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares134

Combined PnL-$6.68

Bosnia and Herzegovina — 50%Sweden — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Bosnia and Herzegovinaavg 95¢	$49.57	$36.39	-$13.18	49% 4087-4288 (8375)
└ Bosnia and Herzegovina leg	Bosnia and Herzegovinaavg 95¢	$34.57	$36.39	+$1.82
└ Sweden leg	Swedenavg 3¢	$15	—	-$15
38 38791873984189<$100	Bosnia and Herzegovinaavg 60¢	$22.5	$37.5	+$15	48% 3305-3631 (6936)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Bosnia and Herzegovinaavg 95¢	$4.75	$5	+$0.25	48% 2231-2388 (4619)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Swedenavg 5¢	$3.78	—	-$3.78	47% 974-1105 (2079)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Swedenavg 5¢	$2.9	—	-$2.9	38% 1138-1890 (3028)