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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was No β€” but Yes won instead.

Sweden leading at halftime?

Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

6

No 67%

Total Value

$43.12

Combined PnL

-$173.96

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders
Total Value$43.12
Total Shares43
Combined PnL+$0.04
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,125
Combined PnL-$174
Yes β€” 33%No β€” 67%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x368c3194...c32886
Slug
unl-swe-bih-2026-11-14-halftime-result-home
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