Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Under 75%
$118.44
-$677.66
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 25¢ | $540.95 | — | -$540.95 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
LI LimousinCTR | Underavg 25¢ | $119.68 | — | -$119.68 | 37% 1043-1777 (2820) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 72¢ | $75.04 | $101.65 | +$26.62 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 25¢ | $31.59 | — | -$31.59 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
NO NordhavenCap<$100 | Overavg 77.8¢ | $12.78 | $16.42 | +$3.64 | 31% 104-232 (336) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 25¢ | $7.67 | — | -$7.67 | 37% 1048-1799 (2847) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Underavg 26¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 55% 532-434 (966) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 22¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Overavg 72¢ | $3.95 | $0.37 | +$0.31 | 53% 1867-1658 (3525) |
Invested
$540.95
Value
—
PnL
-$540.95
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
Invested
$119.68
Value
—
PnL
-$119.68
Record
37%
1043-1777 (2820)
Invested
$75.04
Value
$101.65
PnL
+$26.62
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
Invested
$31.59
Value
—
PnL
-$31.59
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
Invested
$12.78
Value
$16.42
PnL
+$3.64
Record
31%
104-232 (336)
Invested
$7.67
Value
—
PnL
-$7.67
Record
37%
1048-1799 (2847)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
55%
532-434 (966)
Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
Invested
$3.95
Value
$0.37
PnL
+$0.31
Record
53%
1867-1658 (3525)