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NoYesNo
RN1CTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$11.67
Combined PnL
-$11.08
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$11.67
Total Shares12
Combined PnL-$2.06
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares92
Combined PnL-$9.01
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189<$100 | Noavg 85¢ | $9.53 | $6.67 | -$2.86 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.3¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | $4.2 | $5 | +$0.8 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 14¢ | $4.19 | — | -$4.19 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $1.42 | — | -$1.42 | 46% 2830-3355 (6185) |
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$9.53
Value
$6.67
PnL
-$2.86
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.8
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$4.19
Value
—
PnL
-$4.19
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
—
PnL
-$1.42
Record
46%
2830-3355 (6185)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x89416c98...e0fd96
Slug
unl-swe-bih-2026-11-14-exact-score-3-0