Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Romania vs. Poland: Poland O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Under 80%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
$229.56
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 69.6Β’ | $716.46 | $1.0K | +$313.07 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
LU LuckyLooCTR | Overavg 28Β’ | $257.65 | β | -$257.65 | 36% 513-930 (1443) |
SN SnakeBallARB<$100 | Underavg 39.5Β’ | $92.92 | $152.46 | +$59.54 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 39.5Β’ | $60.16 | $152.46 | +$92.3 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 19Β’ | $32.76 | β | -$32.76 | |
![]() RN1 | Underavg 42Β’ | $72.41 | $172.41 | +$100 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
LE LeLynxMalynx | Underavg 40Β’ | $42 | $105 | +$63 | 55% 532-434 (966) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 40Β’ | $7.43 | $18.57 | +$11.14 | 53% 1867-1658 (3525) |
Invested
$716.46
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$313.07
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
Invested
$257.65
Value
β
PnL
-$257.65
Record
36%
513-930 (1443)
Invested
$92.92
Value
$152.46
PnL
+$59.54
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$72.41
Value
$172.41
PnL
+$100
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
Invested
$42
Value
$105
PnL
+$63
Record
55%
532-434 (966)
Invested
$7.43
Value
$18.57
PnL
+$11.14
Record
53%
1867-1658 (3525)