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RN1<$100RomaniaPolandRomaniaPolandPoland
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Poland — but Romania won instead.
Spread: Poland (-3.5)
Resolved Romania. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Poland. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Poland 60%
Total Value
$71.93
Combined PnL
-$25.65
Smart Money Signal
Poland
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Poland0%
Romania100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Romania2 traders
Total Value$71.93
Total Shares72
Combined PnL+$5.78
Poland3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares505
Combined PnL-$31.43
Romania — 40%Poland — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1<$100 | Romaniaavg 91.7¢ | $52.86 | $57.64 | +$4.78 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Polandavg 6¢ | $21.68 | — | -$21.68 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Romaniaavg 93¢ | $13.29 | $14.29 | +$1 | 53% 2235-2015 (4250) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Polandavg 6.9¢ | $8.68 | — | -$8.68 | 37% 1048-1799 (2847) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Polandavg 6¢ | $1.07 | — | -$1.07 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
RN1<$100Invested
$52.86
Value
$57.64
PnL
+$4.78
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$21.68
Value
—
PnL
-$21.68
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$13.29
Value
$14.29
PnL
+$1
Record
53%
2235-2015 (4250)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$8.68
Value
—
PnL
-$8.68
Record
37%
1048-1799 (2847)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1.07
Value
—
PnL
-$1.07
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x11beb9a6...114f71
Slug
unl-rom-pol-2026-11-14-spread-away-3pt5