Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Romania leading at halftime?

Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

5

No 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

$195.07

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders
Total Value$2.3K
Total Shares2,312
Combined PnL+$195.57
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares3
Combined PnL-$0.5
No — 80%Yes — 20%
FL
Flaznorp
No

Invested

$1,458.03

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$202.92

Record

49%

4087-4288 (8375)

wesolyjasiu
No

Invested

$599.4

Value

$600

PnL

+$0.6

Record

100%

34-0 (34)

GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100
No

Invested

$292.32

Value

$219.14

PnL

-$73.18

Record

53%

2235-2015 (4250)

Both legs:

No$188.4686¢+$30.68
Yes$103.8615.5¢-$103.86
RN1<$100
No

Invested

$31.87

Value

$19.92

PnL

-$11.95

Record

55%

5474-4481 (9955)

MA
MadridTime<$100
No

Invested

$26.71

Value

$30.7

PnL

+$3.99

Record

38%

1068-1766 (2834)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$5.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.5

Record

48%

2231-2388 (4619)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb27dba4c...5b74b3
Slug
unl-rom-pol-2026-11-14-halftime-result-home

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

No — $1.7K

+$202.92

wesolyjasiu

No — $600

+$0.6
GO

GoalLineGhost

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$73.18

RN1

No — $19.92

-$11.95
MA

MadridTime

No — $30.7

+$3.99
FE

ferdinand2

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.5
Trade on Polymarket