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NoNo
RN1<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Poland leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$728.35
Combined PnL
$205.26
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$728.35
Total Shares728
Combined PnL+$207.41
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$2.15
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 65¢ | $377.39 | $522.78 | +$145.39 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 70.8¢ | $137.07 | $193.57 | +$56.5 | 53% 2235-2015 (4250) |
RN1<$100 | Noavg 54¢ | $3.24 | $6 | +$2.76 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Noavg 54¢ | $3.24 | $6 | +$2.76 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 43¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$377.39
Value
$522.78
PnL
+$145.39
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$137.07
Value
$193.57
PnL
+$56.5
Record
53%
2235-2015 (4250)
RN1<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.76
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.76
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0158bd51...71636d
Slug
unl-rom-pol-2026-11-14-halftime-result-away