Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Portugal vs. Denmark: Denmark O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 25%
$1.9K
-$31.7
Smart Money Signal
2 of 8 top traders (25%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 31.6Β’ | $466.31 | $1.4K | +$968.55 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
P1 P1kasoCTR | Underavg 68.1Β’ | $953.98 | β | -$953.98 | 21% 31-116 (147) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Overavg 99Β’ | $326.7 | $330 | +$3.3 | 99% 513-7 (520) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Underavg 49.4Β’ | $154.27 | β | -$154.27 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 32Β’ | $28.5 | $89.02 | +$60.52 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Overavg 33Β’ | $13.68 | $41.45 | +$27.77 | 38% 1068-1766 (2834) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Overavg 29Β’ | $3.5 | $12.08 | +$8.58 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Overavg 30Β’ | $3.36 | $11.19 | +$7.83 | 42% 1054-1470 (2524) |
Invested
$466.31
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$968.55
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
Invested
$953.98
Value
β
PnL
-$953.98
Record
21%
31-116 (147)
Invested
$326.7
Value
$330
PnL
+$3.3
Record
99%
513-7 (520)
Invested
$154.27
Value
β
PnL
-$154.27
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
Invested
$28.5
Value
$89.02
PnL
+$60.52
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
Invested
$13.68
Value
$41.45
PnL
+$27.77
Record
38%
1068-1766 (2834)
RN1<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
$12.08
PnL
+$8.58
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
Invested
$3.36
Value
$11.19
PnL
+$7.83
Record
42%
1054-1470 (2524)