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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Denmark β€” but Portugal won instead.

Spread: Denmark (-3.5)

Resolved Portugal. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Denmark. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Denmark 50%

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

$-1.1K

Smart Money Signal

Denmark

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Denmark0%
Portugal100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Denmark4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,458
Combined PnL$-3.0K
Portugal4 traders
Total Value$2.4K
Total Shares2,425
Combined PnL+$1.9K
Denmark β€” 50%Portugal β€” 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xa88907db...9cd80d
Slug
unl-prt-den-2026-11-14-spread-away-3pt5
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