Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Denmark β but Portugal won instead.

Spread: Denmark (-3.5)
Resolved Portugal. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Denmark. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Denmark 50%
$2.4K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Denmarkavg 83.1Β’ | $2.9K | β | $-2.9K | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
![]() ZaiZoiBele | Portugalavg 13Β’ | $258.44 | $2.0K | +$1.7K | 24% 76-235 (311) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Denmarkavg 67.6Β’ | $129.56 | β | -$129.56 | 38% 1138-1890 (3028) |
SN SnakeBall | Portugalavg 29.8Β’ | $66.41 | $222.86 | +$156.45 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Portugalavg 99Β’ | $148.5 | $150 | +$1.5 | 53% 2235-2015 (4250) |
LO looppau<$100 | Portugalavg 99.9Β’ | $64.4 | $64.46 | +$0.06 | 100% 712-0 (712) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Denmarkavg 90Β’ | $27.01 | β | -$27.01 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Denmarkavg 17Β’ | $1.7 | β | -$1.7 | 37% 1064-1797 (2861) |
Invested
$2,857.01
Value
β
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
ZaiZoiBeleInvested
$258.44
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
24%
76-235 (311)
Invested
$129.56
Value
β
PnL
-$129.56
Record
38%
1138-1890 (3028)
Invested
$66.41
Value
$222.86
PnL
+$156.45
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
Invested
$148.5
Value
$150
PnL
+$1.5
Record
53%
2235-2015 (4250)
Invested
$64.4
Value
$64.46
PnL
+$0.06
Record
100%
712-0 (712)
Invested
$27.01
Value
β
PnL
-$27.01
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
Invested
$1.7
Value
β
PnL
-$1.7
Record
37%
1064-1797 (2861)