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UnderUnderUnderOverOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Norway vs. Wales: Norway O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$131.44
Combined PnL
$12.99
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$131.44
Total Shares131
Combined PnL+$27.3
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares204
Combined PnL-$14.3
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 74¢ | $42.93 | $57.69 | +$14.76 | 37% 1063-1796 (2859) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Underavg 82.5¢ | $43.12 | $47.99 | +$4.87 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 70.2¢ | $18.1 | $25.76 | +$7.67 | 53% 1811-1610 (3421) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 7¢ | $14.3 | — | -$14.3 | 47% 936-1036 (1972) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 69% 133-60 (193) |
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$42.93
Value
$57.69
PnL
+$14.76
Record
37%
1063-1796 (2859)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$43.12
Value
$47.99
PnL
+$4.87
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
$18.1
Value
$25.76
PnL
+$7.67
Record
53%
1811-1610 (3421)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$14.3
Value
—
PnL
-$14.3
Record
47%
936-1036 (1972)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
133-60 (193)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x49ed722c...241ccf
Slug
unl-nor-wal-2026-11-14-team-total-home-3pt5