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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: Draw at halftime?

Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

7

Yes 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

$256.03

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,320

Combined PnL+$632.11

No3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares835

Combined PnL-$376.07

Yes — 57%No — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LI Limousin	Yesavg 50¢	$508.42	$1.0K	+$508.42	37% 1043-1777 (2820)
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100	Noavg 50¢	$819.22	$555	-$264.22	53% 2235-2015 (4250)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 56¢	$310.8	$555	+$244.2
└ No leg	Noavg 50¢	$508.42	—	-$508.42
FL FlaznorpCTR	Noavg 39.4¢	$346.07	—	-$346.07	49% 4087-4288 (8375)
VE Venusian	Yesavg 74¢	$147.63	$199.5	+$51.87	37% 1048-1799 (2847)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Yesavg 25¢	$18.32	$73.27	+$54.95	38% 1138-1890 (3028)
38 38791873984189<$100	Yesavg 33.3¢	$13.14	$30	+$16.87	48% 3305-3631 (6936)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100	Noavg 50¢	$23.5	—	-$23.5	47% 319-356 (675)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Noavg 50¢	$6.5	—	-$6.5	55% 532-434 (966)

Invested

$508.42

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$508.42

Record

37%

1043-1777 (2820)

GoalLineGhostARB<$100

Invested

$819.22

Value

$555

PnL

-$264.22

Record

53%

2235-2015 (4250)

Both legs:

Yes$310.856¢+$244.2

No$508.4250¢-$508.42

Invested

$346.07

Value

—

PnL

-$346.07

Record

49%

4087-4288 (8375)

Invested

$147.63

Value

$199.5

PnL

+$51.87

Record

37%

1048-1799 (2847)

topdogbigboi<$100

Invested

$18.32

Value

$73.27

PnL

+$54.95

Record

38%

1138-1890 (3028)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$13.14

Value

$30

PnL

+$16.87

Record

48%

3305-3631 (6936)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100

Invested

$23.5

Value

—

PnL

-$23.5

Record

47%

319-356 (675)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Invested

$6.5

Value

—

PnL

-$6.5

Record

55%

532-434 (966)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x41d115cd...bff0a4

Slug

unl-nir-ukr-2026-11-14-halftime-result-draw

Traders in this Market

Limousin

Yes — $1.0K

GoalLineGhost

Arbitrage — excluded

Flaznorp

No — $0

Venusian

Yes — $199.5

topdogbigboi

Yes — $73.27

38791873984189

Yes — $30

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

No — $0

LeLynxMalynx

No — $0

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