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OverUnderOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Kosovo vs. Israel: Kosovo O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
Total Value
$48.19
Combined PnL
-$45.12
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares647
Combined PnL-$54.24
Under1 trader
Total Value$48.19
Total Shares48
Combined PnL+$9.12
Over — 80%Under — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 7.4¢ | $44.37 | — | -$44.37 | 47% 895-994 (1889) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Underavg 81.1¢ | $39.07 | $48.19 | +$9.12 | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
HE hedgevaultmainnet1CTR<$100 | Overavg 21¢ | $5.92 | — | -$5.92 | 51% 70-66 (136) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Overavg 23¢ | $3.95 | — | -$3.95 | 37% 960-1662 (2622) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 69% 132-60 (192) |
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$44.37
Value
—
PnL
-$44.37
Record
47%
895-994 (1889)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$39.07
Value
$48.19
PnL
+$9.12
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
HE
hedgevaultmainnet1CTR<$100Invested
$5.92
Value
—
PnL
-$5.92
Record
51%
70-66 (136)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
—
PnL
-$3.95
Record
37%
960-1662 (2622)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
132-60 (192)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6f96a4a5...986706
Slug
unl-kvx-isr-2026-11-14-team-total-home-2pt5