Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Kosovo vs. Israel: Kosovo O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
13
Over 62%
$4.6K
$1.3K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 38.1¢ | $1.1K | $2.9K | +$1.8K | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 19¢ | $320.27 | $1.7K | +$1.4K | 47% 895-994 (1889) |
 LuccaF7CTR | Overavg 68¢ | $1.7K | — | $-1.7K | 67% 16-8 (24) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 19¢ | $82.04 | — | -$82.04 | 37% 1028-1723 (2751) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 67.3¢ | $12.2 | $18.13 | +$5.92 | 48% 2074-2236 (4310) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 32¢ | $10.26 | — | -$10.26 | 36% 948-1669 (2617) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Underavg 34¢ | $5.1 | $15 | +$9.9 | 37% 960-1662 (2622) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 60¢ | $6.6 | $11 | +$4.4 | 45% 805-991 (1796) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 53% 7060-6194 (13254) |
HE hedgevaultmainnet1CTR<$100 | Overavg 75¢ | $34.26 | — | -$34.26 | 51% 70-66 (136) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 24¢ | $15.36 | — | -$2.7 | 37% 970-1635 (2605) |
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100 | Overavg 35¢ | $14.75 | — | -$4.75 | 34% 368-702 (1070) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 40.3¢ | $17.73 | — | -$17.73 | 36% 933-1644 (2577) |
Invested
$1,112.93
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
Invested
$320.27
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
47%
895-994 (1889)
LuccaF7CTRInvested
$1,699.99
Value
—
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
67%
16-8 (24)
Invested
$82.04
Value
—
PnL
-$82.04
Record
37%
1028-1723 (2751)
Invested
$12.2
Value
$18.13
PnL
+$5.92
Record
48%
2074-2236 (4310)
Invested
$10.26
Value
—
PnL
-$10.26
Record
36%
948-1669 (2617)
Invested
$5.1
Value
$15
PnL
+$9.9
Record
37%
960-1662 (2622)
Invested
$6.6
Value
$11
PnL
+$4.4
Record
45%
805-991 (1796)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
53%
7060-6194 (13254)
Invested
$34.26
Value
—
PnL
-$34.26
Record
51%
70-66 (136)
Invested
$15.36
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
37%
970-1635 (2605)
Invested
$14.75
Value
—
PnL
-$4.75
Record
34%
368-702 (1070)
Invested
$17.73
Value
—
PnL
-$17.73
Record
36%
933-1644 (2577)