Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Kosovo vs. Israel: Israel O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Under 50%
1 arb excluded
$2.8K
-$43.5
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 63.7Β’ | $1.7K | $2.7K | +$977.97 | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
![]() LuccaF7CTR | Overavg 37Β’ | $924.99 | β | -$924.99 | 67% 16-8 (24) |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Underavg 64.9Β’ | $101.5 | $113.55 | +$12.05 | 37% 1028-1723 (2751) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 64.9Β’ | $73.7 | $113.55 | +$39.85 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 25.8Β’ | $27.8 | β | -$27.8 | |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 30Β’ | $49.24 | β | -$49.24 | 47% 895-994 (1889) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Underavg 65Β’ | $15.38 | $23.66 | +$8.28 | 49% 1117-1185 (2302) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 22Β’ | $11 | β | -$11 | 53% 7060-6194 (13254) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Underavg 93Β’ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 82% 709-151 (860) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 63Β’ | $3.78 | $6 | +$2.22 | 48% 2074-2236 (4310) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 35Β’ | $47.09 | β | -$47.09 | 37% 970-1635 (2605) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50Β’ | $3.4K | β | +$0 | 69% 132-60 (192) |
Invested
$1,717.9
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$977.97
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
LuccaF7CTRInvested
$924.99
Value
β
PnL
-$924.99
Record
67%
16-8 (24)
Invested
$101.5
Value
$113.55
PnL
+$12.05
Record
37%
1028-1723 (2751)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.24
Value
β
PnL
-$49.24
Record
47%
895-994 (1889)
poshposh<$100Invested
$15.38
Value
$23.66
PnL
+$8.28
Record
49%
1117-1185 (2302)
Invested
$11
Value
β
PnL
-$11
Record
53%
7060-6194 (13254)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
82%
709-151 (860)
Invested
$3.78
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.22
Record
48%
2074-2236 (4310)
Invested
$47.09
Value
β
PnL
-$47.09
Record
37%
970-1635 (2605)
Invested
$3,412
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
132-60 (192)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Under β $2.7K

LuccaF7
CTROver β $0
topdogbigboi
ARBArbitrage β excluded
SnakeBall
CTROver β $0

poshposh
Under β $23.66
cigarettes
CTROver β $0

ARTEM-DZYUBA
Under β $5
ferdinand2
Under β $6
MadridTime
CTROver β $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Under β $0