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IsraelKosovoIsrael
RN1CTR<$100KosovoKosovo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Kosovo — but Israel won instead.
Spread: Kosovo (-3.5)
Resolved Israel. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Kosovo. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Kosovo 60%
Total Value
$35.09
Combined PnL
-$29.34
Smart Money Signal
Kosovo
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Kosovo0%
Israel100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Israel2 traders
Total Value$35.09
Total Shares35
Combined PnL+$2.25
Kosovo3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares547
Combined PnL-$31.59
Israel — 40%Kosovo — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Israelavg 99.9¢ | $29.96 | $29.99 | +$0.03 | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Kosovoavg 4¢ | $31.38 | — | -$31.38 | 53% 2085-1830 (3915) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Israelavg 56.5¢ | $2.88 | $5.1 | +$2.22 | 37% 1028-1723 (2751) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Kosovoavg 1.3¢ | $0.07 | — | -$0.07 | 55% 5363-4304 (9667) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Kosovoavg 4.3¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 52% 1721-1568 (3289) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$29.96
Value
$29.99
PnL
+$0.03
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$31.38
Value
—
PnL
-$31.38
Record
53%
2085-1830 (3915)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$2.88
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.22
Record
37%
1028-1723 (2751)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.07
Value
—
PnL
-$0.07
Record
55%
5363-4304 (9667)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
52%
1721-1568 (3289)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x914685ac...1872c0
Slug
unl-kvx-isr-2026-11-14-spread-home-3pt5